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Trump-Panama tiff highlights rising transit cost

  • Spanish Market: Biofuels, Oil products
  • 24/12/24

US president-elect Donald Trump's threat on Saturday to reclaim the Panama Canal for the US put a spotlight on rising costs this year and additional fees planned by the Panama Canal Authority (ACP) for 2025 in the ongoing fallout of a 2023 drought in Central America.

Trump claimed that the US is the "number one user" of the Panama Canal, with "over 70pc of all transits heading to, or from, US ports" on 21 December. ACP data for ships destined for or departing from the US puts this percentage at 73pc in 2023 and 75.5pc in 2024 based on total tonnage of commodities moved through the canal.

"This complete ‘rip-off' of our Country will immediately stop…" Trump said.

The base transit tolls at the Panama Canal have been on the rise and are largely in line with those at the Suez Canal, but Panama Canal costs can be much higher for vessel operators that compete in auctions to enter the Central American passageway.

The operator of a medium range (MR) tanker traveling laden through the Panama Canal would pay $279,564.87 in transit fees, while the operator of a laden very large gas carrier (VLGC) would pay $505,268.24 without accounting for reservation costs, ACP estimates. Suez Canal fees have also been on the rise, with MR tanker at $274,001 throughout 2024, while a VLGC operator would pay $487,562.

But after last year's drought caused the ACP to temporarily limit transits, ACP required shippers to book transit reservations. Shippers unable to secure reservations via pre-booking often resort to the transit slot auction, where winning bids vary wildly.

Pre-booked transit slots often quickly sell out to the containership and LPG vessel owners that dominate the top spots on the ACP's client list.

Auction prices for the Neopanamax locks, which have a starting bid of $100,000 and handle large vessels like VLGCs, are at about $220,000, per Argus assessments. Auction prices for the Panamax locks, which have a starting bid of $55,000 and handle vessels like MR tankers, are around $75,000. The highest Neopanamax auction price was nearly $4mn, with the highest Panamax auction price at about half that level.

In December 2023, 30pc of Panamax lock tanker transits were reserved via the auction system, according to ACP.

The president-elect's criticism of the ACP's handling of Panama Canal fees comes as the administrators of the waterway bounce back from a severe drought throughout 2023. Freshwater levels in the manmade Gatun Lake that helps to feed the canal have recovered because of the return of the rainy season this year, but ACP has maintained its requirement that shippers wishing to transit have reserved transit slots. Prior to the drought, ACP maintained a first-come, first-serve basis for vessels without reservations.

ACP ups reservation costs, adds fees for 2025

Starting in 2025, ACP is maintaining the auction system while also increasing pre-booking costs and adding other fees.

ACP will raise transit reservation fees from $41,000 to $50,000 for Panamax lock transits for "Super" category vessels, including MR tankers. Neopanamax lock transit reservation fees will climb from $80,000 to $100,000 on 1 January.

ACP announced a third transit option in late 2024 for vessel operators in the form of the "Last Minute Transit Reservation" (LMTR) fee to start 1 January 2025 alongside other new fees and higher existing reservation fees.

ACP set the cost of the LMTR fee at about twice the starting bid of an auction, or $100,000 for Supers and $200,000 for Neopanamax, and will likely offer the LMTR fee to vessels that fail to secure a transit slot at auction.

Furthermore, vessel operators that cancel within two days of their transit will be charged a fee at 2.5 times the transit reservation fee, described by the ACP as a surcharge to the existing cancellation fee, which ranges up to 100pc of the transit reservation fee depending on how close to the transit date that an operator cancels.

This means that a Super vessel that cancels within two days of its transit date will receive the 2.5 times surcharge on top of the 100pc transit reservation cancellation fee and pay a total of $175,000. A Neopanamax vessel will pay a total of $350,000.

"Vessels of war" should also vie for slots: ACP

Trump also suggested that the ACP was charging the US Navy, alongside US corporations, "exorbitant prices and rates of passage" and that these fees were "unfair and injudicious".

In March 2024, the ACP published an update on transit slot assignments for vessels of war, auxiliary vessels and other "government-owned" vessels encouraging their operators to participate in the transit system rather than waiting for the ACP to assign them a slot.

"Vessels of war, auxiliary vessels, and other government-owned vessels are encouraged to obtain a booking slot through the available booking mechanisms in order to have their transit date guaranteed and minimize the possibility of delays," the ACP said.

The ACP points out that these vessels of war are entitled to "expeditious transits" based on the Treaty Concerning Permanent Neutrality and Operation of the Canal and are technically not required to obtain a reservation to be considered for transit.

Panama president Jose Raul Mulino on Sunday rejected Trump's threat to retake the canal, which has been under full control of the Central American country since 1999. The canal's rates are established in a public and transparent manner, taking into account market conditions, Mulino said.

"Every square meter of the Panama Canal and its adjacent area is Panama's and will continue to be," Mulino said. "The sovereignty and independence of our country are non-negotiable."


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23/06/25

Trump escalates pressure to keep oil prices down

Trump escalates pressure to keep oil prices down

Washington, 23 June (Argus) — President Donald Trump is pressing domestic oil producers to increase drilling as he works to contain the energy market fallout from a potential escalation in hostilities following US airstrikes on nuclear sites in Iran. Trump said today he was monitoring how the oil industry is responding to the conflict, which depending on Iran's response could disrupt 17mn b/d of crude and refined products that are shipped through the strait of Hormuz. The US carried out air strikes on Iran's Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan nuclear sites early on 22 June local time. Brent crude futures hit a five-month high above $80/bl earlier Monday but had fallen to $73.81/bl as of 1:18 pm ET, after Iran said it had launched an attack on a US military base in Qatar. "EVERYONE, KEEP OIL PRICES DOWN. I'M WATCHING! YOU'RE PLAYING RIGHT INTO THE HANDS OF THE ENEMY. DON'T DO IT!" Trump wrote Monday morning in a post on his social media website Truth Social. Trump followed up by directing the US Department of Energy (DOE) to "DRILL, BABY, DRILL!! And I mean NOW!!!" US energy secretary Chris Wright, in a social media post responding to Trump's instructions, said "we're on it" but did not say what actions he would take. DOE does not have a formal oversight or regulatory role related to oil and natural gas production, although it does manage the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The White House, asked for comment, said Trump was urging his administration to support drilling to keep energy prices low. Since Trump's first day in office, he has "championed domestic energy production to strengthen American economic security", the White House said. DOE did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Trump has sought to increase US oil production by easing regulations, expediting environmental reviews and expanding leasing, but it could take years for those actions to translate into higher production. In the near-term, Trump's most potent tool to reduce prices would be ordering a release of oil from the SPR, which holds 402.5mn bl of crude in four storage sites in Louisiana and Texas. Trump and many other Republican lawmakers were critical of former president Joe Biden for ordering the emergency release of 180mn bl of crude from the SPR in 2022 in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Trump has said he wants to refill the SPR to its full capacity of 714mn bl. The White House said Monday it is not yet seeing interruptions to oil flows, but that the "many tools" available to the president and his "commitment to peace through strength" should "all be reassuring to the market". By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

LNG as marine fuel demand could rise by '35: Correction


23/06/25
23/06/25

LNG as marine fuel demand could rise by '35: Correction

Corrects statement on US LNG exports in paragraph 6. New York, 23 June (Argus) — Demand for LNG as a marine fuel will increase within the next 10 years if supply is boosted by exports from the US and Russia, according to Danish bunker supplier Monjasa. An increase in US and Russian LNG exports would make it a more viable option in the marine fuel market compared with conventional bunker fuel, Monjasa chief executive, Anders Østergaard said today at the Marine Money convention in New York. "If more Russian and more American LNG would come into the global markets, then I truly believe — and we've seen that before the war between Russia and Ukraine — that the price of LNG would beat the price of both fuel oil and diesel oil," Østergaard said. Conventional marine fuels, such as high-sulphur fuel oil and very low-sulphur fuel oil, will remain the dominant fuels in the bunker market in the next 10 years like it is today, according to Østergaard. Demand for other potential alternative marine fuels, like ammonia and methanol, are not likely to pick up by 2035 because the cost to use those fuels is not competitive unless regulations to use those fuels are changed, he said. The US is currently the largest global LNG exporter. Former US president Joe Biden's administration paused issuing export licenses for new LNG terminals last year. President Donald Trump lifted the ban earlier this year and has been approving export licenses for proposed LNG terminals. The EU has relied less on Russian gas and oil imports since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022 and it is proposing to phase out all gas and oil imports by January 2028. By Luis Gronda Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Qatar closes airspace as 'precaution'


23/06/25
23/06/25

Qatar closes airspace as 'precaution'

London, 23 June (Argus) — Qatar today closed its airspace in what it called a "precautionary measure". The move came after the US embassy in Qatar ordered its citizens to "shelter in place". The UK followed this, with both embassies saying the order was "out of an abundance of caution". The Qatari government said the embassies' warnings did not "necessarily reflect the existence of specific threats". The country's foreign office said the airspace closure was undertaken "based on developments in the region". Tehran said today that US airstrikes have expanded the range of legitimate military targets for its armed forces, and Qatar hosts the US' largest military base in the Middle East. Closure of Qatari airspace will make traversing the Mideast Gulf region by air more complicated. Air traffic tracking data show a complete absence of aircraft over Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Iran, with all flights from east to west diverting either north or south of this region. By Ben Winkley Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Subsidised bio-LNG deemed eligible under FuelEU


23/06/25
23/06/25

Subsidised bio-LNG deemed eligible under FuelEU

London, 23 June (Argus) — Subsidised bio-LNG and other types of alternative fuels are deemed eligible under FuelEU Maritime Regulation, according to sources with knowledge of the matter. FuelEU allows emissions reductions supported under other legal frameworks, such as the support schemes under RED, in order to encourage greater investment in less carbon-intensive marine fuels. Under Directive (EU) 2018/2001 (RED), the greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions are counted towards member states' targets, while under FuelEU the targets are set to shipping companies. Excluding subsidised marine fuels may otherwise lead to competitive disadvantages for smaller sectors, such as European biomethane. The European Commission has not yet issued an official statement. Demand for bio-LNG has risen sharply this year with the start of FuelEU Maritime in January, requiring ship-owners to reduce their GHG emissions by 2pc in 2025, with targets steadily rising to 80pc in 2050. Subsidised, bunker dob bio-LNG in Northwest Europe was last assessed at €78.09/MWh ($89.55/MWh) on Thursday, while its unsubsidised counterpart was assessed at €93.59/MWh. By Madeleine Jenkins Bio-LNG vs Gas Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US refiners boost jet production despite clouds


23/06/25
23/06/25

US refiners boost jet production despite clouds

Houston, 23 June (Argus) — Some US refiners are boosting jet fuel production despite tariff-related economic uncertainties that could affect travel demand. Marathon Petroleum, one of the largest US independent refiners, is spending millions to increase jet fuel capacity at its 253,000 b/d Robinson refinery in Illinois. The project will increase the refinery's flexibility to optimise jet output to meet growing demand, chief executive Maryann Mannen says. The company plans to spend $150mn on the project this year and another $50mn in 2026. Marathon would not disclose the planned jet capacity at the refinery but says the project will be ready by the end of 2026. Another independent refiner, CVR Energy, is increasing jet capacity at its Coffeyville, Kansas, refinery. The company is installing piping and revamping storage tanks at the 132,000 b/d facility to enable 9,000 b/d of jet output by the end of the third quarter, chief executive David Lamp says. Jet production is not subject to a Renewable Volume Obligation, which means that CVR would not need to blend biofuels into it or purchase renewable identification number (RIN) credits as it would if producing diesel. Shifting production from diesel to jet will reduce CVR's annual RINs requirements, Lamp says. At the same time, the opportunity to sell products to markets further west, where two major refineries are set to close, will continue to grow over the next few years, with jet being an important part of the mix, he says. Phillips 66 plans to shut its 139,000 b/d Los Angeles refinery by October, while independent Valero aims to close or repurpose its 145,000 b/d Benicia, California, refinery by April 2026. CVR has the capability to move products from the midcontinent to California but would need to weigh the potential benefits against the political, regulatory and cost environment in the state and, as a result, may favour other locations, it tells Argus . CVR at present produces jet at its 74,500 b/d Wynnewood, Oklahoma, refinery, shipping it primarily by truck or pipeline to midcontinent locations, but it can also move jet by rail. Another independent, Delek, has upgraded its 83,000 b/d El Dorado, Arkansas, refinery to produce jet as part of a plan to boost profitability. The company did not disclose how much jet the refinery can produce. The investments come after US refineries produced a record share of jet in 2024, reflecting higher demand relative to other transport fuels, according to the EIA. The EIA in its most recent Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts that US jet demand will average 1.71mn b/d in 2025 and 1.73mn b/d in 2026, up from 1.7mn b/d last year. But US airlines are signalling an uncertain outlook for jet demand, with most withdrawing full-year 2025 financial guidance when reporting first-quarter earnings, as President Donald Trump's evolving tariff plans have made it difficult to predict how travel activity will develop. SAF conduct Refiners nevertheless appear bullish on aviation fuels, including renewables. Specialty refiner Calumet will expand sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) output at its Montana plant sooner than expected — reaching 120mn-150mn USG/yr by the second quarter of 2026, with plans to boost capacity to 300mn USG/yr by 2028. SAF margins have remained "stable and attractive", as the introduction of national mandates around the world compliment an already growing base of voluntary demand, chief executive Todd Borgmann says. US independent Par Pacific's planned $90mn renewable fuels facility at its 94,000 b/d Kapolei, Hawaii, refinery, is near completion. The project will produce SAF and other products, and is expected to start up in the second half of 2025. By Eunice Bridges US jet fuel demand Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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