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US to lay out tariff demands in coming days: Trump

  • Market: Agriculture, Biofuels, Biomass, Crude oil, Fertilizers, LPG, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 04/07/25

The US will lay out its tariff demands on foreign trade partners in the coming days, President Donald Trump said today.

From tomorrow, 5 July, Trump will send letters to 10-12 countries a day, with the aim that all countries will be "fully covered" by 9 July, Trump said. That rate will not cover the amount of tariff deals still to be done by the US, which to date has struck three deals — of 10pc with the UK and China and of 20pc with Vietnam.

"[The tariffs will] range in value from maybe 60pc or 70pc tariffs to 10pc and 20pc tariffs," Trump said. Countries will start paying them on 1 August, he said.

Since 5 April Washington has been charging a 10pc extra tariff on imports — energy commodities and critical minerals are exceptions — from nearly every foreign trade partner, and those rates could go higher after 9 July. Trump has justified those tariffs by citing an economic emergency caused by allegedly unfair trade practices in foreign countries, and his administration is engaged in talks with foreign governments with the nominal goal of lowering their trade barriers.


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10/07/25

Q&A: Titan on the future of LNG and bio-LNG bunkering

Q&A: Titan on the future of LNG and bio-LNG bunkering

London, 10 July (Argus) — Titan is a leading supplier of LNG and bio-LNG as a bunker fuel, mostly supplying volumes in northwest Europe. Argus spoke to Titan's commercial director, Michael Schaap, about the future of LNG and bio-LNG bunkering. How has the demand for LNG as a marine fuel evolved over the past year, and what factors are driving this growth besides FuelEU Maritime? Demand for LNG as a marine fuel has grown significantly over the past year, driven not only by regulatory developments like FuelEU Maritime but also by the growth of the LNG dual-fuel fleet. According to DNV's Alternative Fuels Insights platform, 642 LNG-powered vessels are currently in operation, excluding LNG carriers. Of these, 169 were delivered in 2024, setting a record. The growth in demand is expected to continue — 264 new orders for LNG-fuelled vessels were placed in 2024, also a record and more than double the number of orders placed in 2023. Essentially, the total addressable market for LNG pathway fuels in 2028 will be enormous. The LNG pathway uses LNG (and its established infrastructure), bio-LNG and e-methane (derived from renewable hydrogen). All of these fuels can be blended at any ratio and ‘dropped into' infrastructure and vessels with little to no modification required. It is increasingly recognised as a practical route to take the shipping industry to net zero greenhouse gas emissions. What are the current challenges in scaling LNG bunkering infrastructure to meet the needs of the growing fleet of LNG dual-fuel vessels? A key challenge is ensuring timely investment in bunkering infrastructure to keep pace with the growing number of LNG-fuelled vessels. Take LNG bunkering vessels, for example. According to the DNV, about 64 LNG bunkering vessels are in operation worldwide today, with a further 16 on order. While this far exceeds other alternative fuels, continued investment and expansion will be important. To maintain safe, timely and efficient LNG deliveries that meet demand, it is also important to maintain a suitable number of LNG loading slots. The increased demand for LNG and bio-LNG could alter the dynamics between buyers and sellers in the market. The spot market may become more challenging and expensive for shipowners and operators going forwards. As a result, those that can plan should book capacity well in advance and sign long-term offtake agreements. A good balance of pre-booked business also allows suppliers to reinvest in infrastructure such as bunkering vessels, shifting the market back towards the buyers. Where is Titan looking to expand — beyond northwest Europe? Titan supplies and bunkers LNG and increasingly bio-LNG around the world, partnering with local companies to support if needed. Titan's base, the Zara (Zeebrugge, Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Antwerp) region, is a key hub for LNG, bio-LNG and in the future, e-methane bunkering, and this is not expected to change. Having said this, the Mediterranean is recognised as a key strategic market for expansion. The Mediterranean became an Emission Control Area (ECA) on 1 May, so we expect this to escalate the need for LNG and bio-LNG in the region. Compared with heavy fuel oil, LNG pathway fuels can reduce nitrogen oxide emissions by up to 80pc and almost eliminate sulphur oxide and particulate matter emissions, offering ECA compliance. How is Titan positioning itself to meet the expected boom in bio-LNG demand growth over the coming years and decades? Titan is leading the way in supplying bio-LNG. We have been bunkering nearly all of [Norwegian shipping line] UECC's LNG-powered car carriers with bio-LNG since mid-2024, offering over-compliance with FuelEU Maritime, which presents financial rewards through pooling or banking. The partnership has now been extended through 2025. In 2024, we completed the world's largest ship-to-ship bio-LNG bunkering. We bunkered 2,200t of mass balanced bio-LNG to a Hapag-Lloyd containership in Rotterdam. The bio-LNG was ISSC-certified and recognised under the EU's Renewable Energy Directive known as Red II, marking a major milestone in the clean marine fuels transition. Going forwards, we hope to continue pioneering bio-LNG bunkering across more ports, and we feel it is important for us to further scale our bio-LNG offering as customers increasingly look to focus on regulatory compliance. We will also continue to closely monitor demand and supply signals for other clean marine fuels and will implement them into our portfolio as necessary. What do you see as the main challenges to bio-LNG growth, both in Europe and globally? High production costs remain a challenge for bio-LNG, but processes such as mass balancing are helping to lower supply-side costs. Mass balancing is a system in which biomethane is injected into the gas network and transported to liquefaction plants and LNG terminals using the existing infrastructure. It is expected to feature on many alternative fuel pathways and is a practical way of delivering clean molecules. The best analogy is when domestic energy companies provide consumers with renewable energy in a very similar way. Co-ordinated and consistent public-sector support for biomethane production will also support continued growth in the sector. The EU REPowerEU plan has ambitious biomethane usage targets of 35bn m³ by 2030. In 2023, the EU produced 22bn m³ of biogas, with biomethane being a key component. There is still plenty of work to do. Public-sector support is not only in the interest of end-users, but also of governments. This is because bio-LNG provides energy security, reducing dependency on any other nation's gas supplies. Bio-LNG can be produced locally, anywhere where waste feedstocks are available. At a time of geopolitical instability, the independence and resilience that lots of smaller suppliers can offer is a powerful incentive to invest. Gas prices have been very volatile since the start of this decade. Do you see this as a limiting factor to LNG and bio-LNG bunkering growth? While price fluctuations are a consideration, they do not fundamentally limit growth. LNG and bio-LNG remain cost-competitive compared with other alternative fuels. As LNG and bio-LNG are produced differently, factors that affect the price of one will not necessarily affect the other. To mitigate against market volatility, building in optionality is key. Shipowners and operators have this through their dual-fuel engines, switching to fuel oil if needed. Our bunkering assets are similarly flexible. Using our specialist skill set, we are also open to delivering any fuel that can substantially decarbonise shipping, which will further diversify our operations and build resilience. By Martin Senior and Natalia Coelho Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil eyes retaliatory tariffs on US


10/07/25
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10/07/25

Brazil eyes retaliatory tariffs on US

Rio de Janeiro, 10 July (Argus) — Brazil will consider reciprocal tariffs if US president Donald Trump goes ahead with his threat of a 50pc charge on imports from Brazil, its president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said. "Any unilateral tariff increases will be addressed in accordance with Brazil's economic reciprocity law," Lula posted on social media late on Wednesday. He defended Brazil's sovereignty and said the country "will not accept any form of tutelage". He rebutted Trump's claim that the US has a "very unfair trade relationship with Brazil", pointing to its long-running trade surplus. The US is Brazil's second-largest trading partner behind China, receiving $40.3bn worth of exports in 2024, according to the Brazilian secretary of foreign trade. It is the main market for Brazilian manufactured goods. The national confederation of industries (CNI), a lobby group, called for negotiations with the Trump government "to preserve the countries' historical trade relationship". A group representing the powerful agribusiness lobby in congress, FPA, also called for diplomatic negotiations. A letter that Trump sent on Wednesday to Lula is one of the 22 that the US leader has sent to his foreign counterparts since 7 July, announcing new tariff rates that the US will charge on imports from those countries. By Constance Malleret Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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UK Steel seeks stricter post-safeguard mechanism


10/07/25
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10/07/25

UK Steel seeks stricter post-safeguard mechanism

London, 10 July (Argus) — UK Steel is developing a proposal for the department of business and trade in response to European mill lobby Eurofer requesting a 50pc cut in import quotas from January 2026. Eurofer has also asked for a 50pc tariff from January, suggesting 25pc is not sufficiently high to deter some imports. Traders and buyers in the UK are starting to wake up to the threat of a new stricter mechanism as early as January 2026, despite the current mechanism not lapsing until June next year. Some sources think UK Steel will seek a cut in volumes and increase in tariffs in line with Eurofer's request to the European Commission. In recent quota reviews, UK Steel's requests have largely been in line with those made by Eurofer. Eurofer has also asked for no exceptions for developing countries in the new regime. There has been a clear uptick in offered HRC volumes into the UK from some exporters that were targeted in recent EU dumping cases. Some exporters that sell slab to Tata Steel, currently a re-roller and the largest importer in the UK, are using the larger volumes to secure cheaper freight rates into the UK for strip products. UK Steel director, trade and economics policy, Peter Brennan, told Argus the new UK mechanism "must go further than the existing quota system", suggesting imports account for 70pc of UK steel supply, way above their market share in the EU. The EU does have much more of its own steel and ironmaking capacity, and some grades and sizes are unavailable domestically in the UK. Separately, it is still not clear what safeguard duties importers of Korean and Vietnamese hot-dip galvanised will have to pay after the government imposed a 15pc cap on the other countries' quota just four business days before the quarterly quota reset. Importers expect to pay at least £90/t ($121/t) on Korean HDG, but the HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) portal currently shows the quota as suspended until today. HMRC told Argus it was "working on some calculation issues which has prevented the quotas from processing partial claims". By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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China’s Greater Bay Area ideal SAF hub: Cathay Pacific


10/07/25
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10/07/25

China’s Greater Bay Area ideal SAF hub: Cathay Pacific

Shanghai, 10 July (Argus) — China's Greater Bay Area (GBA) could become a global demonstration zone for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) within 2-3 years, said Hong Kong-based carrier Cathay Pacific's head of climate action Nikola Xing at the Sustainable Aviation Forum in Guangzhou today. The GBA's strategic advantage is its world-class airport cluster, which includes the Guangzhou Baiyun, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Zhuhai and Macau airports, as their proximity makes SAF deliveries easier, he said. The cluster is expected to generate demand for up to 15mn t/yr of jet fuel, but the proportion of SAF in this mix remains undetermined. Hong Kong is expected to set a SAF consumption target in 2025, but has not yet done so. Meanwhile, the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) has set a SAF consumption target for 2025 of 50,000t (1,000 b/d), but the country does not have a mandate for SAF usage yet. Cathay Pacific consumed 217.8t of SAF between 2016 and 2023 and aims to use SAF for 10pc of its total fuel consumption by 2030, Xing said. The airline also started using SAF to offset 10pc of emissions from staff duty travel starting from 2024. Cathay Pacific also aims to support the development of SAF technologies and signed an initial agreement with State Power Investment (SPIC) in 2023 to encourage the use of the power-to-liquid (PtL) pathway. Most SAF plants produce via the hydrotreated esters and fatty acids (HEFA) pathway, but interest is growing in the alcohol-to-jet and PtL pathways. Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Opec sees oil demand rising to 123mn b/d by 2050


10/07/25
News
10/07/25

Opec sees oil demand rising to 123mn b/d by 2050

London, 10 July (Argus) — Opec has raised its long-term oil demand forecast by nearly 3mn b/d, driven by stronger growth in India and the Middle East and a shifting policy landscape that it says is reinforcing fossil fuels' role in the global energy mix. "There is no peak oil demand on the horizon," Opec secretary-general Haitham al-Ghais said in the group's latest World Oil Outlook (WOO), repeating a line he used in last year's edition and underscoring Opec's ongoing rejection of forecasts that see oil use peaking before 2030. Opec argues that such forecasts underestimate demand growth in developing economies and overstate the pace of the energy transition. The 2025 WOO lifts Opec's 2050 oil demand projection to 122.9mn b/d, from 120.1mn b/d in last year's WOO. Its 2040 forecast is revised up to 120mn b/d from 117.8mn b/d. The 2030 outlook is unchanged at 113.3mn b/d, but the group sees a steeper rise in demand in the later years of the forecast. While the overall trajectory remains consistent with last year's WOO, the new report places greater emphasis on policy recalibration in major economies. It highlights growing political resistance to decarbonisation targets — particularly in the US and parts of Europe — and said energy affordability and supply security are increasingly shaping national strategies. These shifts, Opec suggests, are slowing the pace of energy transitions and supporting continued oil demand growth. The 2025 WOO adopts a more cautious tone on electrification, citing infrastructure and cost challenges, and acknowledges the geopolitical effect of the US' second withdrawal from the Paris climate agreement — a development not covered in last year's edition. India leads the pack India makes the biggest single contribution to the long-term demand increase. Opec forecasts the country's oil use to more than double from 2024, to 13.7mn b/d by 2050. Demand in China, on the other hand, rises in the medium term but flattens after 2035, reflecting slower economic growth and rising electric vehicle uptake. OECD demand is projected by Opec to edge up to 46.6mn b/d by 2030 — from 45.7mn b/d in 2024 — before entering a steady decline. By 2050, it is put at 37.2mn b/d, led by sharp reductions in Europe's transport and residential sectors. The sectoral breakdown remains broadly unchanged from last year. Road transport, petrochemicals and aviation account for most of the demand growth between 2025 and 2050. Oil use in road transport is forecast to rise by 5.3mn b/d, aviation by 4.2mn b/d and petrochemicals by 4.7mn b/d. Supply to match demand On the supply side, Opec projects global liquids output at 113.6mn b/d by 2030 and 123mn b/d by 2050. It still expects US production to peak at just over 23mn b/d around 2030, before falling to 19.6mn b/d by mid-century. Non-Opec+ supply is seen plateauing in the 2030s, with Opec+ producers expected to meet most of the incremental demand, lifting their share of global supply to 52pc by 2050 from 48pc in 2024. Opec estimates $18.2 trillion of investment will be needed to meet oil demand through to 2050, up from $17.4 trillion in the 2024 report. Of the total, $14.9 trillion — more than 80pc — is allocated to upstream. The group reiterated that underinvestment could threaten future supply security and market stability. The report notes refining capacity is expected to keep pace with long-term demand growth, but warns of a potential short-term tightening later this decade as the rise in oil demand outpaces new capacity — particularly in Asia-Pacific. By James Keates Send comments and request more information at [email protected] Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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